Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy Day Trade Algo V30/10 Followed by live capital $7,300 Hypothetical

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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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Ascend
(140757086)

Created by: MarkAnderson4 MarkAnderson4
Started: 06/2022
Futures
Last trade: 595 days ago
Trading style: Futures Momentum
Subscriptions not currently available.

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $149.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
82.1%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(30.4%)
Max Drawdown
160
Num Trades
66.9%
Win Trades
1.7 : 1
Profit Factor
20.7%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022                                   (4.5%)+18.2%+14.4%+4.9%+14.6%(0.1%)+8.3%+68.0%
2023(4.2%)(2.3%)+0.3%  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  (6.1%)
2024  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -              0.0

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 120 hours.

Trading Record

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
3/12/23 18:00 @MNQM3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 18 12084.51 3/15 11:03 12154.03 3.43%
Trade id #143861702
Max drawdown($5,503)
Time3/14/23 0:00
Quant open9
Worst price12356.50
Drawdown as % of equity-3.43%
 ($2,520)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $16.92
3/10/23 10:26 @MNQM3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 5 12061.95 3/10 15:41 11946.15 0.94%
Trade id #143845182
Max drawdown($1,500)
Time3/10/23 11:35
Quant open5
Worst price12212.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.94%
 $1,153
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
3/8/23 7:53 @MNQM3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 10 12318.27 3/10 10:04 12145.00 1.58%
Trade id #143812313
Max drawdown($2,456)
Time3/9/23 0:00
Quant open7
Worst price12493.20
Drawdown as % of equity-1.58%
 $3,457
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.40
1/19/23 9:46 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 100 12253.41 3/8 7:52 12335.15 12.68%
Trade id #143267340
Max drawdown($19,449)
Time2/2/23 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price12950.00
Drawdown as % of equity-12.68%
 ($16,442)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $94.00
2/6/23 13:33 SPY SPDR S&P 500 LONG 1 409.81 2/6 13:33 409.89 n/a $0
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.02
1/15/23 18:48 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 25 11538.37 1/19 9:39 11506.04 1.54%
Trade id #143221732
Max drawdown($2,637)
Time1/18/23 0:00
Quant open8
Worst price11759.50
Drawdown as % of equity-1.54%
 $1,594
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $23.50
1/13/23 9:48 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 7 11513.93 1/13 16:24 11593.25 0.86%
Trade id #143210288
Max drawdown($1,474)
Time1/13/23 15:39
Quant open7
Worst price11619.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.86%
 ($1,118)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
1/11/23 9:34 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 13 11451.62 1/13 9:31 11407.37 1.76%
Trade id #143175535
Max drawdown($2,977)
Time1/12/23 0:00
Quant open8
Worst price11580.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.76%
 $1,139
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $12.22
1/9/23 8:09 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 5 11292.80 1/9 19:52 11173.50 0.55%
Trade id #143143408
Max drawdown($927)
Time1/9/23 11:16
Quant open5
Worst price11385.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.55%
 $1,188
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
1/6/23 9:27 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 10898.50 1/6 11:17 10970.50 0.16%
Trade id #143121773
Max drawdown($264)
Time1/6/23 9:46
Quant open1
Worst price10766.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
 $143
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
1/4/23 9:41 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 21 10897.08 1/6 9:22 10922.79 1.75%
Trade id #143086391
Max drawdown($2,921)
Time1/6/23 8:22
Quant open10
Worst price10751.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.75%
 $1,060
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $19.74
1/2/23 18:27 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 7 10942.11 1/4 5:39 10984.54 0.26%
Trade id #143064695
Max drawdown($431)
Time1/2/23 20:25
Quant open3
Worst price10951.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.26%
 $587
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.58
12/30/22 9:29 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 4 10899.44 12/30 12:53 10937.19 0.15%
Trade id #143043644
Max drawdown($244)
Time12/30/22 9:49
Quant open2
Worst price10855.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
 $298
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.76
12/29/22 9:49 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 10962.75 12/29 11:08 11018.75 0.03%
Trade id #143031751
Max drawdown($42)
Time12/29/22 9:53
Quant open1
Worst price10941.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $111
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/27/22 9:25 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 11 10862.70 12/29 9:49 10898.95 0.64%
Trade id #143004079
Max drawdown($1,065)
Time12/29/22 0:29
Quant open7
Worst price10793.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.64%
 $788
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $10.34
12/22/22 10:43 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 8 10956.06 12/22 15:37 11005.28 0.83%
Trade id #142968403
Max drawdown($1,369)
Time12/22/22 13:33
Quant open8
Worst price10870.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
 $780
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.52
12/22/22 10:13 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 11033.25 12/22 10:16 11052.00 0.03%
Trade id #142967791
Max drawdown($43)
Time12/22/22 10:16
Quant open1
Worst price11055.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 ($39)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/21/22 9:13 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 6 11296.88 12/22 10:00 11235.08 0.53%
Trade id #142951092
Max drawdown($873)
Time12/22/22 3:20
Quant open5
Worst price11384.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.53%
 $736
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.64
12/20/22 15:43 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 1 11193.25 12/21 8:30 11232.50 0.03%
Trade id #142945229
Max drawdown($43)
Time12/20/22 16:00
Quant open1
Worst price11171.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $78
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/20/22 11:46 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 3 11132.50 12/20 12:30 11181.17 n/a $289
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
12/19/22 23:51 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 5 11067.75 12/20 11:09 11187.15 0.08%
Trade id #142934394
Max drawdown($139)
Time12/20/22 0:35
Quant open3
Worst price11042.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
 $1,189
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
12/18/22 22:40 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 5 11343.85 12/19 10:20 11294.00 0.05%
Trade id #142918839
Max drawdown($83)
Time12/19/22 5:43
Quant open1
Worst price11411.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 $494
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.70
12/16/22 14:30 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 3 11294.75 12/16 15:50 11340.00 0.07%
Trade id #142909316
Max drawdown($115)
Time12/16/22 14:34
Quant open3
Worst price11275.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 $269
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
12/15/22 11:24 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 LONG 10 11435.55 12/16 10:02 11424.60 1.02%
Trade id #142890228
Max drawdown($1,663)
Time12/16/22 4:12
Quant open7
Worst price11316.80
Drawdown as % of equity-1.02%
 ($228)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.40
12/15/22 9:55 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 2 11606.50 12/15 10:23 11552.12 n/a $216
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.88
12/14/22 18:00 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 3 11876.25 12/15 9:30 11687.75 0.08%
Trade id #142883251
Max drawdown($132)
Time12/14/22 18:35
Quant open3
Worst price11898.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
 $1,128
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
12/14/22 5:06 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 3 11964.17 12/14 14:14 11904.50 0.39%
Trade id #142871586
Max drawdown($632)
Time12/14/22 13:58
Quant open3
Worst price12069.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
 $355
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.82
12/13/22 8:53 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 10 12244.08 12/13 11:11 12177.35 0.29%
Trade id #142856832
Max drawdown($460)
Time12/13/22 9:22
Quant open5
Worst price12326.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.29%
 $1,326
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.40
12/12/22 9:26 @MNQH3 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 1 11695.50 12/12 10:46 11675.75 0.04%
Trade id #142844371
Max drawdown($60)
Time12/12/22 9:50
Quant open1
Worst price11725.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
 $39
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.94
12/7/22 11:23 @MNQZ2 MICRO E-MINI NASDAQ 100 SHORT 16 11581.62 12/9 9:37 11580.19 1.48%
Trade id #142798994
Max drawdown($2,353)
Time12/9/22 8:30
Quant open7
Worst price11748.00
Drawdown as % of equity-1.48%
 $31
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $15.04
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    6/13/2022
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $100,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    864.43
  • Age
    29 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    160
  • # Profitable
    107
  • % Profitable
    66.90%
  • Avg trade duration
    1.2 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    30.43%
  • drawdown period
    July 26, 2022 - Aug 16, 2022
  • Cumul. Return
    57.7%
  • Avg win
    $1,434
  • Avg loss
    $1,744
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $161,053
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $161,053
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.66:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.7
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.09
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.587
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    54.80%
  • Correlation to SP500
    -0.20590
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    55.74%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    82.1%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    9.80%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    1.00%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.75%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.577%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    0.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    22.1%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    53.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    19.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    6.50%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    0.50%
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    739
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    519
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $1,745
  • Avg Win
    $1,435
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $92,471.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    29
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $153,544.000
  • # Winners
    107
  • Num Months Winners
    6
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    53
  • % Winners
    66.9%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    1791.03
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    29.85
  • Avg Trade Length
    1.2 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    590
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    2.20
  • Daily leverage (max)
    8.63
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.07
  • Beta
    -0.32
  • Treynor Index
    -0.17
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    0.52
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    5.345
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    1.107
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.494
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.187
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.68801
  • SD
    0.42065
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.63561
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.47647
  • df
    8.00000
  • t
    1.41648
  • p
    0.09719
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.80545
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.98745
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.89952
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.85246
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    4.52251
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.15079
  • Upside part of mean
    0.93573
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.24771
  • Upside SD
    0.41664
  • Downside SD
    0.15213
  • N nonnegative terms
    7.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    9.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.04355
  • Mean of criterion
    0.68801
  • SD of predictor
    0.27419
  • SD of criterion
    0.42065
  • Covariance
    -0.08115
  • r
    -0.70361
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.07946
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.73502
  • Mean Square Error
    0.10211
  • DF error
    7.00000
  • t(b)
    -2.61981
  • p(b)
    0.98279
  • t(a)
    1.98971
  • p(a)
    0.04346
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -2.05378
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.10514
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.13850
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.60854
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.63737
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.73502
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.59935
  • SD
    0.38931
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.53951
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.38972
  • df
    8.00000
  • t
    1.33325
  • p
    0.10958
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.88460
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.87863
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.97367
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.75311
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.76063
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.38844
  • Upside part of mean
    0.85878
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.25943
  • Upside SD
    0.37317
  • Downside SD
    0.15937
  • N nonnegative terms
    7.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    9.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.01069
  • Mean of criterion
    0.59935
  • SD of predictor
    0.27052
  • SD of criterion
    0.38931
  • Covariance
    -0.07522
  • r
    -0.71420
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -1.02783
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.61033
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08486
  • DF error
    7.00000
  • t(b)
    -2.69963
  • p(b)
    0.98467
  • t(a)
    1.81430
  • p(a)
    0.05625
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -1.92811
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.12754
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.18513
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.40580
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.58312
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.61033
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.12621
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.16558
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02612
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.06134
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    9.00000
  • Minimum
    0.90237
  • Quartile 1
    1.01172
  • Median
    1.05350
  • Quartile 3
    1.12017
  • Maximum
    1.30095
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.94353
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.04046
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.08921
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.22351
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.10846
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.11111
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.30095
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -3.75170
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.22035
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.22057
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.08350
  • Quartile 1
    0.08703
  • Median
    0.09056
  • Quartile 3
    0.09410
  • Maximum
    0.09763
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.08350
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09763
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00707
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.80093
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.87246
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    8.93621
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    8.93621
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    5.26918
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.70046
  • SD
    0.45723
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.53199
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.52612
  • df
    196.00000
  • t
    1.32843
  • p
    0.45277
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.73532
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.79544
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.73922
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.79146
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.49338
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.65850
  • Upside part of mean
    2.43243
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.73197
  • Upside SD
    0.36186
  • Downside SD
    0.28093
  • N nonnegative terms
    110.00000
  • N negative terms
    87.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    197.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.03453
  • Mean of criterion
    0.70046
  • SD of predictor
    0.21966
  • SD of criterion
    0.45723
  • Covariance
    -0.02766
  • r
    -0.27543
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.57332
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.75900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.19419
  • DF error
    195.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.00089
  • p(b)
    0.67310
  • t(a)
    1.41723
  • p(a)
    0.43583
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.85593
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.29071
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.28205
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.72257
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.22177
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.72026
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.59776
  • SD
    0.45058
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.32664
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.32155
  • df
    196.00000
  • t
    1.15036
  • p
    0.45905
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -0.93908
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.58906
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -0.94253
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.58563
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.05237
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.14054
  • Upside part of mean
    2.37094
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.77318
  • Upside SD
    0.34428
  • Downside SD
    0.29125
  • N nonnegative terms
    110.00000
  • N negative terms
    87.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    197.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.01059
  • Mean of criterion
    0.59776
  • SD of predictor
    0.21922
  • SD of criterion
    0.45058
  • Covariance
    -0.02738
  • r
    -0.27718
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.56971
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.60379
  • Mean Square Error
    0.18838
  • DF error
    195.00000
  • t(b)
    -4.02848
  • p(b)
    0.67417
  • t(a)
    1.20626
  • p(a)
    0.44528
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.84862
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.29080
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.38339
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.59096
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -1.04923
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.60379
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04257
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05360
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01369
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03002
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    197.00000
  • Minimum
    0.89817
  • Quartile 1
    0.99521
  • Median
    1.00237
  • Quartile 3
    1.00928
  • Maximum
    1.18949
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97529
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99912
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00572
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.03156
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01407
  • Number outliers low
    13.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.06599
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.94263
  • Number of outliers high
    16.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.08122
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.06377
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.52224
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02045
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.05062
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.54153
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01980
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.05016
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    21.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00009
  • Quartile 1
    0.00303
  • Median
    0.00757
  • Quartile 3
    0.04733
  • Maximum
    0.26402
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00126
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00525
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.03184
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.13992
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.04429
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.14286
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.19800
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.50825
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.14637
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.33331
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.29335
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.13263
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.79890
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.86948
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.29323
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    6.21398
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    16.22320
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.35596
  • SD
    0.20914
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.70199
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.69215
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.20349
  • p
    0.44751
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.08067
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.47824
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.08728
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.47158
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.79303
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.76565
  • Upside part of mean
    1.24458
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.88862
  • Upside SD
    0.16628
  • Downside SD
    0.12745
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.04206
  • Mean of criterion
    0.35596
  • SD of predictor
    0.21729
  • SD of criterion
    0.20914
  • Covariance
    -0.00527
  • r
    -0.11595
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.11161
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.35126
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04349
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.32590
  • p(b)
    0.57365
  • t(a)
    1.19099
  • p(a)
    0.43373
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.27815
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.05493
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.23227
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.93480
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -3.18940
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.35126
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.33420
  • SD
    0.20772
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.60886
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.59956
  • df
    130.00000
  • t
    1.13763
  • p
    0.45036
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.17287
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.38453
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.17906
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.37817
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.58413
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    9.51861
  • Upside part of mean
    1.23101
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.89681
  • Upside SD
    0.16285
  • Downside SD
    0.12933
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    61.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    131.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    -0.06535
  • Mean of criterion
    0.33420
  • SD of predictor
    0.21632
  • SD of criterion
    0.20772
  • Covariance
    -0.00545
  • r
    -0.12122
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.11640
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.32659
  • Mean Square Error
    0.04284
  • DF error
    129.00000
  • t(b)
    -1.38698
  • p(b)
    0.57698
  • t(a)
    1.11549
  • p(a)
    0.43787
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.03900
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.28245
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.04964
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.25268
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.90586
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -2.87109
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.32659
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01964
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02487
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00737
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01540
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    131.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95235
  • Quartile 1
    0.99643
  • Median
    1.00071
  • Quartile 3
    1.00658
  • Maximum
    1.06829
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98779
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99902
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00403
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01510
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01016
  • Number outliers low
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.03817
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.96890
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.02290
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05441
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.20882
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01073
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.01726
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.45878
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00981
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.01964
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    16.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00009
  • Quartile 1
    0.00195
  • Median
    0.00407
  • Quartile 3
    0.01547
  • Maximum
    0.13148
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00063
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00307
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00711
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.06394
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01351
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.18750
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.07405
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.31265
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.06956
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.11785
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.22733
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.08110
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -302993000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    21
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.39695
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.43635
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.31861
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    6.82435
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    17.54530

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2022-06-13
Suggested Minimum Capital
$100,000
# Trades
160
# Profitable
107
% Profitable
66.9%
Correlation S&P500
-0.206
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
1.09
Beta
-0.32
Alpha
0.07
Leverage
2.20 Average
8.63 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.