These are my discretionary predictions which are based on my own proprietary blend of analysis including quantitative analysis (mechanical systems), technical analysis, sentiment, and other factors.

Notice: Go to http://themarketpredictor.com/ to learn more about methodology and read my commentary!


FAQ

1. I see some fractional contracts why is that?

I've been so successful that my system equity grew to a point where I felt it made sense for me to "rescale" it down. This will make it easier for those with less capital to track me. The percent changes are the same except I'm penalized because the monthly fees are applied to a lower starting capital.

2. The after commissions performance doesn't look the best. What performance is possible?

The after commission is set by default to "typical" commissions which is too high for this system. If you use MBTrading or OpenECry, you will see a much better and more realistic result. Some traders may even achieve slightly better actual results then the after cost estimates (using cheaper brokers/better deals using Gen1). I have found this to be true at least on some days.

More Info:

1. I focus on directional timing strategies. The core strategy will not hold more then 1 position at any time. I do experiment and try to find creative edges.

2. I do use some leverage. Leverage can both magnify gains and losses and the differences both positive and negative are typically strongly modulated by volatility.

I vary my position size currently on a few factors: confidence, time-in-market consideration, perceived risk, personal goals, and type of trade.

3. I do not use or believe in martingale strategies. However, I do believe that in certain rare cases the optimal course of action may require that one opens a new position on a position that is already underwater. I always try to take the optimal action. I may at unique times average into a trade.

4. Most of my trades are executed during the regular session and closed before or shortly after the close. I may hold positions up to a few days but currently my style is day trading.

5. I use multiple risk management strategies. First, I use the C2 constraint feature which sets a large autostop on each position. This is currently set at 3% but may be reduced or increased. I anticipate the range to stay between 2% and 3.5%. However, I often will set a tighter stop of only a few points shortly after entering a position. I rarely take losses in that range but it can happen.

6. I do trade distinctly different styles, and I do experiment. In some cases, I may shoot for a high win ratio and use targets and in other cases I may try to catch big trends. I always try to win. But, I'm, also, training, practicing, and trying to hone my techniques. Be wary of extrapolating a short history of my trading style into the future. During some periods, you may see my trading style change dramatically as I work on new skills or try out new ideas. I always try to win though.

7. My market calls could prove extremely valuable and profitable to the intraday trader and do promote my service as more then a trading system. I do feel my services could be invaluable in terms of intraday decision support.

8. I have found that setting hard/inflexible rules does not bring out the best in my performance. Instead, I've found that having a general plan and guidelines to be more effective. Thus, one should view this plan as a work-in-progress and as a general guidelines or blue print. This plan will be updated as time goes on and changes may be made without explicit notification.

9. My performance may vary as I change my personal goals. My current goals are to be consistently profitable, and my new goal is to produce returns in the 50% to 120% range. Higher returns require taking a higher risk. Please note that risk will be higher going forward. The previous maximum risk likely understate the future risks.

10. As noted, I do take experimental trades and vary my position size. If you auto-trade either issue may be an important consideration. I advise to monitor and evaluate your risk tolerance carefully.
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This system is open only to individual subscribers, retail traders, and independent professional traders. If you are a broker, hedge fund manager, or proprietary trading group please contact me for rates and/or partnership opportunities. Signals may not be reproduced without permission.

Warning:
This system, as any trading system, is host to both known and unknown risk. Significant loss including total account loss is a distinct possibility with any system. Past performance is no guarantee of future profits. I am not a financial professional and can not, and do not, offer investment advice.

No warranty is implied or guaranteed. As system is discretionary, adaptation or changes to all rules, style of trading, position sizing, and use of leverage may take place at any time without warning or notification. You agree to not hold me liable for any order entry mistakes, timing delays, or other failures. By signing up for my system you acknowledge all of these risks and unspecified risk and agree to not hold me liable for any losses. Any claims are my opinion and not the claims of my employer.


Please don't even *THINK* about trading this system unless you are prepared to lose up to 12% to 30% on a NORMAL downswing and more on a larger then anticipated downswing. I've set extremely high return goals for myself that will increase the risk going forward. Thanks!